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Mediocre earnings today add salt to healthcare sector wounds, US stocks post slight losses

Apr 17, 2019

 

Better Research, Better Investments.Better Research, Better Investments.
Better Research, Better Investments.Better Research, Better Investments.

US Markets End of Day Snapshot

  • US stocks post losses today led by healthcare stocks and amid fears in the sector over profitability and mixed earnings reports
  • Read more on the healthcare sell-off: Band-Aid Please! Health Care Stocks Lick Their Wounds and Search for Ointment Amid a Sector Meltdown
  • US Wholesale Inventories grew 0.2% in February, below 0.3% consensus and well below the 1.2% in January
  • China posted GDP growth of 6.4% in the first quarter, factory output rose 8.5% in March y/y with retail sales rising 8.7% in March
  • China is pursuing new stimulus measures to boost sales of cars and electronics, according to a Bloomberg report 
  • US Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin said the US and China have agreed on an enforcement mechanism for a trade deal allowing each side tools against the other if either does not abide by the agreement
  • Critics worry the agreement could run afoul of the WTO and give China a weapon against US companies seeking access to Chinese markets, read more: Is the US giving China a club to bludgeon US companies with?
  • These are Chinese stocks to own: A TRADE DEAL is coming! Get these TOP BUY CHINESE STOCKS 
  • A trade deal is getting closer: Get the Pens! US-China trade deal could be signed as soon as late May
  • Check out these Top Buy sin stocksNO CONFESSION NEEDED! These SIN STOCKS are what your portfolio needs NOW!
  • The SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) experienced positive inflows of USD$2.23 billion yesterday.  That is the largest amount since October 2, 2018. 
  • Stocks newsletter writer sentiment is at the highest level since October 2018 according to Investors Intelligence (II).  According to II, the percentage of bearish newsletter writers is at the lowest levels since mid-November 2018. 
  • Technical analysts are warning the weakness in Russell 2000 stocks is a warning sign for the current rally. Currently, little under 30% of stocks in the Russell 2K are below their 200-day moving average, the largest amount since October 2014. We take a different perspective...as we highlighted earlier this week, small-cap ETFs are our favorites and we see the group outperforming large-cap stocks coming out of earnings season.  Remember, like we discussed last week, earnings expectations for 1Q have been slashed the most in 3 years.  US stocks are set for a beat and raise scenario which will be a catalyst to drive a continuation in the current rally. 
  • The yield on the 10-year bond, is back to where it was trading before the FOMC turned more dovish, read more: Before doves flew...The FED FREAK OUT FADES with 10-year yield back to pre-dovish levels
  • The German government now expects GDP growth of only 0.5% in 2019, the slowest growth rate in 6 years
  • Value stocks you need to check out: Everyone loves OUTSTANDING VALUE! These TOP BUY QUALITY VALUE stocks are what your portfolio needs NOW!
  • Check out the book of the week: The Money Book for the Young, Fabulous & Broke, by Suze Orman
  • The S&P 500 finished down 0.23%, Nasdaq Composite is down 0.05%, and Russell 2000 is down 0.96%
  • Tech (+0.58%), Consumer Staples (+0.36%), and Consumer Discretionary (+0.19%) stocks were the top performers in the S&P 500 today
  • Materials (-0.61%), Real Estate (-0.99%), and Healthcare (-2.89%) stocks were the worst performers in the S&P 500 today
  • Investor sentiment for US stocks finished negative with the advance/decline ratio for the S&P 500 closing at 0.64x
  • 164 stocks in the S&P 500 hit 4-week highs while 54 stocks reached 4-week lows
  • 83 stocks in the S&P 500 closed overbought while 8 stocks closed oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
  • 162 stocks in the Nasdaq Composite hit 4-week highs while 79 stocks reached 4-week lows
  • 434 stocks in the Nasdaq Composite closed overbought while 251 stocks closed oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
  • The VIX finished flat at 12.12 after closing at 12.18 yesterday

Stocks Trending in the News

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Global Consumer Stocks Trending in the News

  • Amazon (AMZN) CEO Jeff Bezos argues against those who complain of its market power in the company’s annual letter to shareholders.  Critics complain that Amazon earns 50 cents of every dollar spent online in the US and the power it wields is immense.  For many sellers who originally viewed Amazon as a partner now see them as a competitor.  Many sellers complain that Amazon now sells products similar to theirs, at prices that undercut them in spots on the site that are more prominent than theirs.  Most sellers on Amazon are loathed to invite regulations but at least seem willing to listen to proposals.  Amazon is rated “Neutral” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Top Buy” in our US Information Technology Global Top Stock Ideas.
  • Domino’s Pizza (DPZ) was upgraded to overweight from equal-weight at Morgan Stanley.  Morgan raised Domino’s price target to $283 from $268 as well.  Morgan thinks concern over decelerating US trends “are overdone.”  Investors are pricing in same-store-sales growth of only 2-3% and Morgan believes this is too bearish given its experience and the fact that Domino’s in the “best in class operator.”   Morgan writes that Domino’s has a “superior consumer value proposition” as it upgrades the stock.  Domino’s Pizza is rated “Attractive” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Attractive” in our US Consumer Discretionary Global Top Stock Ideas.
  • Geely Automobile Holdings (SEHK: 175), Great Wall Motor Company (SEHK: 2333), and other Chinese auto manufacturers saw their shares soar today as investors are speculating that the NDRC is seeking consultation to ease controls over the number of auto licenses distributed in major Chinese cities. The news comes from CIMB Securities Ltd. analyst Danny Chen, who cites a consultation paper form the NDRC that mentions new measures to encourage the purchase of new-energy citizens by citizens. Geely Automotive is rated “Neutral” in our China All-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas. Great Wall Motors Company is rated “Neutral” in our China All-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
  • Las Vegas Sands (LVS) reported first quarter adjusted EPS of 91 cents, beating consensus of 86 cents.  Revenue of $3.65 billion beat $3.5 billion consensus.  Macau revenue of $2.33 billion came ahead of $2.2 billion expected.  Las Vegas Sands confirmed work on the Four Seasons Suites Macau and Londoner Macau “is progressing.”  Las Vegas Sands is rated “Unattractive” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Neutral” in our US Consumer Discretionary Global Top Stock Ideas.  
  • Pepsi (PEP) reported first quarter results that beat expectations on strength in sales of its drinks and snacks.  Pepsi’s first quarter adjusted EPS of 97 cents beat the 91 cents consensus.  First quarter revenue of $12.9 billion beat consensus slightly.  Snacks saw a jump of over 5% in revenue.  Pepsi said it would continue strong advertising to maintain the momentum.  Pepsi is rated “Neutral” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Top Buy” in our US Consumer Discretionary Global Top Stock Ideas.  

Global Information Technology Stocks Trending in the News

  • IBM (IBM) reported first quarter revenue that showed a drop in cloud computing and artificial intelligence revenue.  IBM blamed the drop on foreign exchange headwinds, saying without that revenue in those units grew 12%.  IBM first quarter EPS of $2.25 matched $2.22 consensus.  Revenue of $18.2 billion missed $18.4 billion consensus.  IBM expects to close the acquisition of Red Hat later this year, its largest acquisition ever and one hoped to fuel its growth.  IBM is rated “Neutral” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Attractive” in our US Information Technology Global Top Stock Idea
  • Intel (INTC) said it is not going to continue its efforts to grab a larger share of the mobile handset chip market.  Intel has spent years trying to break into the market and had planned to launch 5G chips in 2020.  But with Apple (AAPL)and Qualcomm (QCOM) resolving their dispute which involves Apple returning to Qualcomm chips, Intel has decided to abandon its efforts to gain share in the space.  Intel said new fifth-generation wireless systems will give it opportunity for growth and it will focus there.  Intel is rated “Unattractive” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Attractive” in our US Consumer Discretionary Global Top Stock Ideas.  Qualcomm is rated “Unattractive” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Neutral” in our US Information Technology Global Top Stock Ideas.  Apple is rated “Neutral” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Neutral” in our US Information Technology Global Top Stock Ideas.  
  • Netflix (NFLX) reported second quarter guidance with subscriber additions that trailed consensus together with its first quarter results.  Netflix expects to add 5.0 million net subscribers in the coming quarter, well below the 6.09 million consensus.  Netflix reported first quarter adjusted EPS of $0.76 ahead of $0.58 consensus.  First quarter revenue of $4.52 billion matched $4.50 billion consensus.  Netflix added 9.6 million subscribers in the first quarter beating 8.96 million consensus.    Netflix is rated “Unattractive” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Neutral” in our US Information Technology Global Top Stock Ideas.  
  • Qualcomm (QCOM) and Apple (AAPL) have come to a final agreement to end all litigation between the two companies.  Qualcomm and Apple signed a 6-year supply agreement with a 2-year option to extend.  Qualcomm said the deal will add $2.00 to EPS as deliveries ramp up.  The agreement ends all litigation with contract manufacturers as well.  The deal is effective April 1, 2019.  Qualcomm is rated “Unattractive” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Neutral” in our US Information Technology Global Top Stock Ideas.  Apple is rated “Neutral” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Neutral” in our US Information Technology Global Top Stock Ideas.
  • Sprint (S) and T-Mobile (TMUS) have been told by US Justice Department officials that their merger deal is not likely to be approved the way it is presently structured.  The threat to their $26 billion merger is the anti-trust division of the Justice Department.  There is fear the deal could present an unacceptable threat to competition, as they are the #3 and #4 players in the telecom sector.  The proposed merger has been discussed for years as both companies are seeking scale with the merger.  Sprint is rated “Top Short” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Top Buy” in our US Consumer Discretionary Global Top Stock Ideas.  T-Mobile is rated “Neutral” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Top Buy” in our US Consumer Discretionary Global Top Stock Ideas.
  • Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (OM: ERIC) shares traded notably higher after the company reported first quarter net sales that edged past analyst consensus by just 1.1%. Ericsson also generated adjusted operating profit of SEK5.1bn in its most recent quarter, notably beating analyst expectations for SEK4.05bn in adjusted operating profit. Ericsson is rated “Attractive” in our European Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.

Global Financial Stocks Trending in the News

  • Bank of New York Mellon (BK) reported first quarter earnings that missed consensus.  Bank of New York Mellon’s first quarter EPS of 96 cents trailed the 96 cents expectation.  First quarter net interest margin of 1.20% missed expectation of 1.26%.  Bank of New York Mellon reported $1.8 trillion in assets under management with $34.5 trillion of assets under administration.  First quarter common equity tier 1 ratio of 11%.  Bank of New York Mellon is rated “Neutral” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
  • E-Trade Financial (ETFC) reported first quarter results that beat consensus expectations.  First quarter EPS of $1.09 beat $0.93 consensus.  E-Trade Financial first quarter revenue was $755 million, ahead of $738 million consensus.  First quarter net interest income was $492 million.  Daily average trades were 279,405.  E-Trade Financial is rated “Neutral” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas 
  • GAM Holding AG (SWX: GAM) shares traded higher by the most in more than 6 months after the company reported it would soon complete the liquidation of its scandal-ridden bond fund. The Swiss fund manager erased declines seen this year as the stock traded higher by double digits on the announcement. GAM is targeting full liquidation of the fund by mid-2019. GAM Holding is rated “Neutral” in our European SMID-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
  • Interactive Brokers (IBKR) reported first quarter adjusted EPS of $0.64 ahead of $0.60 consensus.  First quarter revenue of $558 million beat $505 million consensus, increasing 5.9% y/y.  Interactive Brokers increased declared a $0.10 quarterly dividend, matching consensus.  Interactive Brokers saw a 13% jump in net interest income to $29 million.  Interactive Brokers is rated “Top Short” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
  • Morgan Stanley (MS) reported first quarter results that came above consensus.  Morgan Stanley reported first quarter EPS of $1.33, beating consensus of $1.16.  Morgan Stanley delivered $3.73 billion in trading revenue, a touch above consensus.  Like other banks, stock trading revenues were lower as was fixed income trading revenue, though the latter beat consensus.  Morgan Stanley called its results “solid” and described it as “well positioned” to serve its clients, though highlighted the “risks to the global environment remain.”  Morgan Stanley is rated “Unattractive” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas

Global Industrial Stocks Trending in the News

  • CSX (CSX) reported first quarter EPS of $1.02, beating 91 cents consensus.  CSX first quarter revenue of $3.01 billion matched consensus of $3.0 billion.  CSX had an operating ratio of 59.5% in the first quarter, down from 60.3% in the previous quarter.  CSX does not expect the ratio to remain below 60%.  CSX expects capex of $1.6-$1.7 billion this year as it remains focused on service improvements.  CSX is rated “Attractive” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Attractive” in our US Industrials Global Top Stock Ideas.  
  • Jet Airways India (BSE: 532617) shares continued to slide after the Indian carrier was forced to ground all flights and shut operations as it runs out of funds and searches for a new investor. Lenders have denied Jet Airways interim funding. The company’s last flight will operate today before the carrier shuts operations. Jet Airways India is rated “Top Short” in our India All-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas. 
  • Kansas City Southern (KSU) reported first quarter adjusted EPS that beat consensus. First quarter EPS of $1.54 beat $1.44 consensus while revenue of $674.8 million came above the $667.7 million consensus.  Kansas City Southern reported an operating ratio of 76.2%, well above the 65.8% reported a year ago.  Volumes fell 1% versus a year ago due to one-time service interruptions.  Kansas City Southern is rated “Neutral” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Neutral” in our US Industrials Global Top Stock Ideas.
  • Textron (TXT) shares soared by double-digits after the company posted first quarter financials that notably beat consensus estimates. Textron generated an EPS of USD$0.76 in its most recent quarter, more than 11% higher than consensus for USD$0.68/share. Bloomberg analyst Douglas Rothacker wrote to clients on Textron’s financials that, “Recent cost actions and improving Aviation profitability are expected to propel profit growth, with aggressive share repurchases supporting the company’s drive to boost EPS.” Textron is rated “Neutral” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Attractive” in our US Industrials Global Top Stock Ideas.
  • United Rentals (URI) reported first quarter results that beat expectations.  First quarter EPS of $3.31 beat $3.03 consensus.  United Rentals first quarter revenue was $2.12 billion, ahead of $2.06 billion consensus.  United Rentals reaffirmed revenue guidance for full year 2019 of $9.15-$9.55 billion.  United Rentals CEO said he expects a strong year saying “customer sentiment remains positive.”  United Rentals is rated “Neutral” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Neutral” in our US Industrials Global Top Stock Ideas

Global Healthcare Stocks Trending in the News

  • Abbott Labs (ABT) reported first quarter results that came generally in line with consensus.  Abbott reported first quarter EPS from continuing operations of 63 cents, beating 61 cents consensus.   Net sales of $7.54 billion came in line with $7.48 billion consensus.  Abbott’s Freestyle Libre diabetes treatment grew 70% fueling the strong growth of its Diabetes Care unit.  Abbott provided second quarter EPS guidance of 79-81 cents while expecting full year EPS to be in the range of $3.15-$3.25.  Abbott Labs is rated “Attractive” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
  • Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (IONS), Insmed Incorporated (INSM), and Crispr Therapeutics AG (CRSP), shares fell alongside broader biotechnology stocks amid growing fears of “Medicare for All” legislation introduces on Capitol Hill. Ionis Pharmaceuticals fell the most among constituents of the Nasdaq Biotech Index after its partner Roche (SWX: ROG) said on a conference call that their Huntington-disease drug treatment may need further testing. Ionis Pharmaceuticals is rated “Unattractive” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas. Insmed is rated “Unattractive” in our US SMID-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas. Crispr Therapeutics is not rated in our Global Top Stock Ideas. Roche is rated “Top Buy” in our European Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.

Global Commodities & Power Stocks Trending in the News

  • Alcoa (AA) reported first quarter results that were worse than expected.  Alcoa reported a 23 cents per share loss in the first quarter, worse than the 9 cents per share loss expected.  Adjusted ebitda of $467 million was better than the $403 million expected.  Revenue in the first quarter of $2.72 billion trailed the $2.81 billion expectation.  Alcoa cut its aluminum demand growth forecast to 2-3%, down from 3-4%.  Alcoa also cut its global aluminum deficit guidance to 1.5-1.7 million metric tons, down from 1.7-2.1 million metric tons.  Alcoa is rated “Top Short” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas
  • Vallourec SA (ENXTPA: VK) shares edged higher after Chairman Philippe Crouzet said that recent upticks in oil prices reaffirm the company’s FY2019 earnings forecast. Crouzet also said that the tube maker’s free cash flow may be positive for a “part” of 2019 and completely positive by FY2020’s end. Vallourec is rated “Unattractive” in our European SMID-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
 

 

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US Treasuries

  • US 2-Year Treasury Notes are higher with yields down -1.02 basis points to 2.40%
  • US 5-Year Treasury Bonds are higher with yields down -0.33 basis points to 2.40%
  • US 10-Year Treasury Bonds are lower with yields up 0.18 basis points to 2.59%
  • The US Treasury 2s-5s Spread has widened 0.69 basis points to 0%
  • The US Treasury 2s-10s Spread has widened 1.2 basis points to 0.19%
  • US Treasury 5s-10s Spread has widened 0.51 basis points to 0.19%

Currencies

  • EUR€ is up 0.16% against the USD$ in after hours to 1.1299
  • GBP£ is little changed 0.084% against the USD$ in after hours to 1.3037
  • CHF is down 0.272% against the USD$ in after hours to 0.9894
  • JPY¥ is little changed 0.089% against the USD$ in after hours to 112.1

Commodities

  • WTI Crude is down -0.45% to USD$63.76/bbl with the Brent-WTI spread little changed USD$0.06 to USD$7.3/bbl
  • Gold is little changed -0.21% to USD$1274.14/oz

 

*Data in Price Return and Updated Real-Time (with a delay), Source: StockDio

S&P 500 Sector ETFs - End of Day

*Data in Price Return and Updated Real-Time (with a delay), Source: StockDio

Russell 1000 Factor ETFs - End of Day

*Data in Price Return and Updated Real-Time (with a delay), Source: StockDio

 

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Get Unbiased Quantitative Investment Research from Advanced AI Machine Learning Technology and Maximize your ReturnsGet Unbiased Quantitative Investment Research from Advanced AI Machine Learning Technology and Maximize your Returns

S&P 500 Movers

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Outperformers Sector Price 1D % Chg Volume
QUALCOMM Inc Information Technology 55.8 12.25%          22,998,031
United Continental Holdings Inc Industrials 81 4.78%            2,192,615
Kansas City Southern Industrials 101 4.09%                348,726
CSX Corp Industrials 65.1 4.02%            2,482,954
Textron Inc Industrials 48.1 4.01%                955,530
 
Underformers Sector Price 1D % Chg Volume
Bank of New York Mellon Corp/The Financials 49.3 -9.52%            1,315,354
Alexion Pharmaceuticals Inc Health Care 112 -8.05%                330,345
DaVita Inc Health Care 56.7 -7.72%                195,087
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc Health Care 186 -7.10%                841,227
Edwards Lifesciences Corp Health Care 162 -6.78%                490,100
Morning BriefA quick GLOBAL RECAP TO START YOUR DAY
Morning BriefA quick GLOBAL RECAP TO START YOUR DAY