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Impasse Morass? Stalled US-China trade talks send US stocks lower, S&P500 posts loss for second week in a row

May 17, 2019

 

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Market data as of 12:30 pm EST

US Market Snapshot

  • US stocks close lower as stalled US-China trade talks weigh on market sentiment, driving the risk-off movement today
  • The S&P 500 finished down 0.59%, Nasdaq Composite is down 1.04%, and Russell 2000 is down 1.38%
  • The US had indicated it is ready to remove the 10% and 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico
  • China state media said it has little interest in further talks with the US at this time, saying without meaningful moves from the US, there is no reason for anyone to come to China 
  • China also said it will step up stimulus for its economy in response to the tariffs from the US 
  • China accused the US of "tricks to disrupt the atmosphere" with its latest moves
  • An update on the Trade War: Report from the Front Lines: An Update of the State of Each Front in the Trade War
  • Earnings Recap: S&P 500 1Q19 Earnings Recap: Consumer Discretionary Stocks Lead, But Still A Long Way To Go
  • Iron Ore traded above $100 this morning as the present supply crunch is not expected to improve any time soon, read more: The Ore Score: What in the World is going on with Iron Ore? 
  • Check out Quantamize on CNBC discussing why we love ALPHABET (GOOGL): click here for video
  • Buybacks for everyone: No Stoppin' It Now! S&P 500 Stock Buybacks Continue at Rapid Pace
  • Options trading: Day Traders are Back! Options Trading is Increasingly their Weapon of Choice
  • University of Michigan Sentiment Index for May came at 102.2, well above 97.2 consensus
  • Utilities (+0.48%), Healthcare (-0.17%), and Real Estate (-0.17%) stocks were the top performers in the S&P 500 today
  • Tech (-0.82%), Energy (-1.05%), and Industrials (-1.1%) stocks were the worst performers in the S&P 500 today
  • Investor sentiment for US stocks finished negative with the advance/decline ratio for the S&P 500 closing at 0.37x
  • 80 stocks in the S&P 500 hit 4-week highs while 16 stocks reached 4-week lows
  • 23 stocks in the S&P 500 closed overbought while 35 stocks closed oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
  • 97 stocks in the Nasdaq Composite hit 4-week highs while 171 stocks reached 4-week lows
  • 279 stocks in the Nasdaq Composite closed overbought while 257 stocks closed oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
  • The VIX closed up 3.07 points today  to 18.36 after closing at 15.29 yesterday

Stocks Trending in the News

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Global Consumer Stocks Trending in the News

  • Amazon (AMZN) is becoming one of the biggest investors in UK delivery company Deliveroo.  Amazon led the most recent $575 million round of financing.  Deliveroo competes with Uber’s (UBER) Eats delivery service in London and a number of other European markets.  Deliveroo has raised a total of $1.53 billion but did not disclose a valuation.  Amazon is rated “Neutral” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Top Buy” in our US Consumer Discretionary Global Top Stock Ideas.  Uber is not yet rated on our Global Top Stock Ideas.
  • Dillard’s (DDS) reported first quarter net sales that trailed consensus.  Dillard’s posted first quarter net sales of $1.47 billion while consensus was for $1.5 billion.  First quarter EPS of $2.99 beat consensus of $2.89.  Dillard’s delivered same store sales growth of 0%, behind the 2% expected, while total sales grew 1%, also trailing consensus of 2%.  Dillard’s is rated “Unattractive” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Neutral” in our US Consumer Discretionary Global Top Stock Ideas
  • Just Eat Plc. (LSE: JE) shares slid following reports that tech giant Amazon (AMZN) is leading the charge of a $575 million investment in Deliveroo, a fast growing startup also in competition with Uber Technologies (UBER). To date, Deliveroo has raised $1.53 billion in funding. According to Bloomberg, the recent news of Amazon’s investment in the food delivery space will heighten pre-existing concerns of Just Eat shareholders. Just Eat is rated “Neutral” in our United Kingdom All-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas. Amazon is rated “Neutral” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas. Uber is not yet rated in our Global Top Stock Ideas.
  • Luckin Coffee Inc. (LK) shares climbed in its debut trading day after the newly public Starbucks (SBUX) rival in China raised $561 million in an expanded US IPO. Shares of Luckin climbed as high as 51% above its IPO price in trading in Asia on Thursday. Earlier in February, analysts had only projected Luckin Coffee to raise $300 million through a public offering. Luckin is not yet rated in our Global Top Stock Ideas.
  • Pinterest Inc. (PINS) shares fell by the most intraday ever after the company announced a disappointing outlook. Still, analysts were urging investors against selling off the stock. Mark May of Citi, for example, told clients that Pinterest’s results, “reflect the strong momentum in the business and the opportunities to drive future growth in several ahead.” RBC Capital Markets analyst Mark Mahaney, meanwhile, praised the firm’s monthly active user growth and “solid” trend in average revenue per user. Pinterest is not yet rated in our Global Top Stock Ideas.
  • Sony Corp. (TSE: 6758) shares surged to their highest level since December after CEO Kenichiro Yoshida announced a record share buyback just months after the company finished a program of similar magnitude. The repurchase period for Sony shares began on Friday and will continue until March 31st, 2020. Sony just recently completed the repurchase of 1.5% of its common shares for 100 billion yen. Sony Corp. is rated “Attractive” in our Japan Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
  • Tesla (TSLA) CEO Elon Musk sent an email to all Tesla employees saying that he and its new CFO will now personally examine all expense in a “hardcore” effort to cut costs.  The aggressive moves come in the wake of huge losses last quarter.  Musk noted that the $2.2 billion cash balance Tesla has will only last 10 months at its current burn rate requiring a focus on containing costs like never before.  Tesla is rated “Unattractive” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Neutral” in our US Consumer Discretionary Global Top Stock Ideas.  Uber is not yet rated on our Global Top Stock Ideas.
  • Under Armor (UAA) shares surged after JPMorgan’s Matthew Boss upgraded the stock from neutral to overweight. Boss explained to clients that meetings with Under Amour's CEO, COO, CFO, and CDO revealed a, “controlled confidence,” among management. Boss expects Under Armor’s mix of product, innovation, and marketing to drive growth acceleration through FY2020 in the firm’s top and bottom line. Under Armor is rated “Top Short” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Neutral” in our US Consumer Discretionary Global Top Stock Ideas.
  • Walmart (WMT) was upgraded to accumulate from hold at Gordon Haskett.  Walmart’s price target was raised to $115 from $99.  Walmart is executing well with an e-commerce strategy that is showing results.  Walmart is rated “Attractive” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Attractive” in our US Consumer Staples Global Top Stock Ideas.  Uber is not yet rated on our Global Top Stock Ideas.
  • Wynn Resorts (WYNN) has had preliminary talks with MGM Resorts International (MGM) about selling its soon to be opened casino just outside Boston in a surprise bit of news.  Wynn recently was approved to keep the casino in the wake of a sexual assault allegations against its CEO.  The Wynn project is a $2.6 billion endeavor that is slated to open shorty.  MGM already owns a casino in the state, where no company can own 2 so any deal would require it to sell the casino it owns outside Springfield.  Wynn Resorts is rated “Unattractive” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Attractive” in our US Consumer Discretionary Global Top Stock Ideas.  MGM Resorts International is rated “Unattractive” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Attractive” in our US Consumer Discretionary Global Top Stock Ideas

Global Information Technology Stocks Trending in the News

  • Applied Materials (AMAT) was upgraded to buy from neutral at B. Riley FBR.  Applied Materials saw its price target hiked to $54 from $46 as well.   B. Riley sees increased confidence that near-term stability for Applied Materials has arrived and that the overall situation is improving.  Applied Materials is rated “Neutral” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Neutral” in our US Information Technology Global Top Stock Ideas.  
  • Baidu (BIDU) reported its first quarterly loss since its IPO in 2005.  Baidu posted a 327 million yuan loss in the quarter.  Baidu also provided guidance that trails consensus, saying it expects revenue in the coming quarter to be 25.1 billion to 26.6 billion yuan, well below consensus of 29.3 billion yuan.  Baidu is facing multiple headwinds as it faces a slowing China.  Baidu is rated “neutral” in our China All-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas
  • Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) announced it agreed to acquire Cray Inc in a $1.4 billion deal.  Cray (CRAY) shareholders will receive $35 per share, a 17% premium to yesterday’s close.  Cray is a maker of supercomputers that Hewlett Packard Enterprise is acquiring to bolster its position in the market as it focuses on artificial intelligence and distributed computing.  This is Hewlett Packard Enterprise’s biggest deal since it was created in 2015 from the breakup of Hewlett Packard.  Hewlett Packard Enterprise is rated “Top Short” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Attractive” in our US Information Technology Global Top Stock Ideas.  Cray Inc is rated “Neutral” in our US SMID-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Neutral” in our US Information Technology Global Top Stock Ideas.  
  • Nvidia (NVDA) reported first quarter revenue and earnings that beat consensus.  Nvidia reported first quarter EPD of 88 cents, beating 81 cents consensus.  Revenue of $2.22 billion came ahead of $2.19 billion.  Nvidia provided second quarter revenue guidance of $2.5 billion to $2.6 billion while consensus is presently $2.53 billion.  Nvidia is rated “Top Short” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Unattractive” in our US Information Technology Global Top Stock Ideas.  

Global Industrials Stocks Trending in the News

  • Air Canada (TSX:AC) announced that it is in exclusive talks to acquire Transat Airlines (TSX:TRZ) for $387 million.  Air Canada said it is offering a 23% premium for Transat.  Air Canada’s offer is over twice the price that Transat was trading at on April 30th when it announced it was in talks with a potential suitor.  Air Canada is rated “Neutral” in our Canada All-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.  Transat Airlines is not rated in our Global Top Stock Ideas.
  • Boeing (BA) has completed the software development and updated the software used on the 737 Max.  Boeing has flown 207 flights for a total of 360 hours of flight time.  Boeing is providing the FAA with additional requested data as the FAA reviews updated training materials.  Boeing is hoping to schedule certification flights soon with the FAA.  Boeing is rated “Top Short” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Unattractive” in our US Industrials Global Top Stock Ideas.  
  • Deere & Co. (DE) reported earnings that missed consensus and cut its guidance as trade tension starts to be felt further.   Fiscal second quarter EPS of $3.52 trailing consensus of $3.62.  Deere net sales in the second quarter was $11.34 billion, ahead of $10.18 billion.  Deere provided full year sales growth guidance of 5%, a cut from previous 7% guidance.  Deere sees full year net income of $3.3 billion, down from $3.56 billion.  Deere & Co. is rated “Top Short” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Attractive” in our US Industrials Global Top Stock Ideas.  

Global Commodity Stocks Trending in the News

  • Vale (VALE) alerted authorities that another of its tailings dams could collapse as soon as next week.  Vale informed that a tailings dams at a mine in Barao de Cocais in southeast Brazil could collapse due to instability at a nearby inactive mine.  Vale said residents in the vicinity of the 280-foot high dam have been evacuated.  This comes in the wake of Vale’s dam collapse a few months ago in which 270 people were killed.  Vale is rated “Neutral” in our Brazil All-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas. 

 

 

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US Treasuries

  • US 2-Year Treasury Notes are lower with yields up 0.59 basis points to 2.19%
  • US 5-Year Treasury Bonds are lower with yields up 0.49 basis points to 2.17%
  • US 10-Year Treasury Bonds are higher with yields down -0.17 basis points to 2.39%
  • The US Treasury 2s-5s Spread has narrowed 0.1 basis points to -0.02%
  • The US Treasury 2s-10s Spread has narrowed 0.76 basis points to 0.19%
  • US Treasury 5s-10s Spread has narrowed 0.66 basis points to 0.22%

Currencies

  • EUR€ is little changed 0.125% against the USD$ in after hours to 1.116
  • GBP£ is down 0.602% against the USD$ in after hours to 1.2721
  • CHF is little changed 0.081% against the USD$ in after hours to 0.9893
  • JPY¥ is up 0.155% against the USD$ in after hours to 110.02

Commodities

  • WTI Crude is little changed -0.17% to USD$62.76/bbl with the Brent-WTI spread down USD$-0.75 to USD$10.45/bbl
  • Gold is down -0.69% to USD$1277.88/oz
     

*Data in Price Return and Updated Real-Time (with a delay), Source: StockDio

S&P 500 Sector ETFs - Intraday

*Data in Price Return and Updated Real-Time (with a delay), Source: StockDio

Russell 1000 Factor ETFs - Intraday

*Data in Price Return and Updated Real-Time (with a delay), Source: StockDio

 

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S&P 500 Movers

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Outperformers Sector Price 1D % Chg Volume
Under Armour Inc Consumer Discretionary 19.8 8.00%            1,091,604
Under Armour Inc Consumer Discretionary 17.9 6.97%                641,192
Applied Materials Inc Information Technology 33.7 2.50%            3,147,491
Humana Inc Health Care 288 2.27%                158,823
Twenty-First Century Fox Inc Communication Services 48.6 2.22%            1,665,369
 
Underperformers Sector Price 1D % Chg Volume
Deere & Co Industrials 157 -7.65%                495,115
PG&E Corp Utilities 6.95 -6.49%                429,474
Qorvo Inc Information Technology 61.6 -6.14%                485,887
Skyworks Solutions Inc Information Technology 68.4 -4.84%            1,399,035
Wynn Resorts Ltd Consumer Discretionary 108 -4.63%                251,469

 

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