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Global stocks continue bounce back as Asian stocks jump overnight and Facebook (FB) reports 3Q results which beat market estimates

Oct 31, 2018

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US Stocks

  • Global stocks continue their bounce back following a sharp rally in Asian stocks overnight and Facebook (FB) earnings which crushed market estimates 
  • US stocks index futures are pointing to a positive open for US stocks with the Dow Jones minis +0.25%, S&P500 minis +0.34% and Nasdaq 100 minis +0.26% 
  • At the current levels for S&P500 minis futures, the S&P500 would close the month of October with the worst monthly return since February 2009 and its worst October since the financial crisis (October 2008) 
  • Emerging markets stocks have been one of the worst performers in October with the MSCI EM Index (ETF: EEM) closing down 9.2% for the month 
  • Global stocks, in aggregate, are on pace to finish the month of October down almost 10% 
  • The SPY ETF saw positive influence yesterday of USD$2.06 billion, boosting total fund assets 0.8% 
  • The VIX is moving down 1.12 this morning and is currently at 22.17 after closing at 23.35 last week
  • General Electric (GE) January 2019 OTM Puts, Bank of America (BAC) November 2 OTM Calls, SPY October 31 & November 16 OTM Puts, and EWZ December 21 OTM Puts are the most heavily traded options contracts in US pre-market trading
  • US 10-Year Treasury Bonds are lower with yields up 1.7 basis points to 3.1397%
  • The US Treasury 2s-10s Spread has widened 0.49 basis points to 0.28%
  • WTI Crude is currently down -1.28% to USD$66.18/bbl with the Brent-WTI spread up USD$1.56 to USD$9.73/bbl
  • Gold is currently down -0.43% to USD$1217.67/oz
  • Global oil prices are on pace to record the biggest monthly drop since 2016 as the specter of a slowdown in global growth has been weighing in trader sentiment

Stocks Trending in the News

Click name for Q-Factor breakdown, latest price details, more financial info and sentiment data.
 

  • Airbus (AIR FP) saw earnings before interest, tax and one-time items climb to 1.58 billion euros, which came ahead of 1.4 billon euros expected.  Airbus maintained its 800 aircraft delivery guidance for the full year.  Airbus is struggling with production challenges with jet engines problems.  Airbus maintained its ebit forecast of about 5 billion euro.  Airbus is rated “Neutral” in our European Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
  • Baidu (BIDU) provided guidance that was below consensus.  Baidu expects revenue to come in 4Q 25.48-26.72 billion yuan.  Presently consensus is for 27.8 billion yuan.  3Q revenue of 28.2 billion yuan came above consensus.  Baidu is seeing a challenging ad environment as newcomers vie for a piece of Baidu’s ad business.  Baidu is rated “Neutral” in our China All-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
  • Facebook (FB) reported 3Q results above expectations with revenue jumping 33% to USD$13.73 billion.  Facebook saw 2.27 billion monthly active users in 3Q.  3Q EPS of USD$1.76 came well above USD$1.47 expected.   Facebook outlined further focus on “stories” and videos via Instagram for the future as change roils the social network.  Facebook is rated “Neutral” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Attractive” in our US Information Technology Global Top Stock Ideas.
  • Mazda (7261 JP) slashed its full year forecast for operating income due to heavy rains recently in Japan.  Mazda full year operating income of 70 billion yen is expected, down from 105 billion yen and compared with consensus of 97 billion yen.  Mazda expects an operating loss of 2.21 billion yen while previously it had expected a 16.21 billion yen gain.  Mazda is rated “Attractive” in our Japan Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
  • Nomura (8604 JP) reported continued weakness in its European business, losing USD$102 million.  Nomura saw total revenue fall 3% to 448.4 billion yen with trading profit dropping 14%.  Nomura also saw brokerage commissions drop by 125 and investment banking fees lower by 30%.  Nomura is rated “Attractive” in our Japan Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
  • Qualcomm (QCOM) had its stock downgraded by Bank of America Merrill Lynch today.  Qualcomm lowered to neutral from buy.   Bank of America Merrill Lynch cut Qualcomm’s target to USD$70 from USD$75.  Qualcomm was downgraded ahead of earnings to be published November 7th.  Qualcomm is rated “Neutral” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Neutral” in our US Information Technology Global Top Stock Ideas.
  • Sanofi (SAN FP) reported 3Q results above expectations.  Sanofi reported 3Q EPS of 1.84 euros while 1.70 was expected.  Sanofi revenue in 3Q of 9.39 billion euros versus 9.26 billion expected.   Sanofi expects EPD growth of 4-5% up from 3-5%.  Sanofi is rated “Neutral” in our European Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
  • Tencent’s (700 HK) WeChat is being used by US embassy officials to post official translations of US statements critical of China.  Tencent’s WeChat is being used to comment of sensitive issues between the countries such as “re-education camps” in China.  Tencent is rated “Attractive” in our China All-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
     

 

European Stocks

  • European stocks are jumping up this AM, in sympathy with the move in Asia stocks overnight 
  • The Euro Stoxx 600 is currently up +1.51%, the FTSE 100 is higher by +1.49%, the DAX has advanced +1.24%, and the CAC 40 has risen +2.18%
  • Even after today’s move, the Stoxx Europe 600 is on pace for its worst month since January 2016 
  • Inflation continues to accelerate in the Eurozone with Core CPI +1.1% Y/Y for October, in-line with market expectations and an acceleration from September’s rate of +0.9%
  • Investor sentiment for European stocks is positive with the advance/decline ratio for the Euro Stoxx 600 currently at 6.41x
  • Basic Resources (+2.63%), Industrial Goods & Services (+2.47%), and Oil & Gas (+2.43%) stocks are the top performers in the Euro Stoxx 600 today
  • Telecommunications (-0.05%), Utilities (+0.25%), and Real Estate (+0.28%) stocks are the worst performers in the Euro Stoxx 600 today
  • 16 stocks in the Euro Stoxx 600 are at 4-week highs while 28 stocks are at 4-week lows
  • 5 stocks in the Euro Stoxx 600 are overbought while 67 stocks are oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
  • VSTOXX, the European stocks equivalent of the VIX, is  moving down this morning and is currently at 14.23 after closing at 22.22 yesterday
  • EUR€ is currently little changed against the USD$ at 1.1339
  • GBP£ is currently up +0.26% against the USD$ to 1.2739
  • CHF is currently little changed against the USD$ at 0.9944
  • German 10-Year Bunds are lower with yields up 1 basis points to 0.379%
  • UK 10-Year GILTs are lower with yields up 2.1 basis points to 1.42%

Asian Stocks

  • Asian stocks finished in the black overnight, closing a volatile month on positive note 
  • The Nikkei 225 finished up +2.16%, the Hang Seng ended up +1.6%, the Hang Seng China Enterprise up +1.4%, and the CSI 300 was +1.4%
  • China Non-manufacturing PMI for the month of October came in a little light at 53.9 vs. Market expectations of 54.6 (was 54.9 in September) 
  • The China repo rate surged the most in 4 years as traders became more convinced that the Chinese government will try to combat negative sentiment towards the Yuan
  • Investor sentiment for Japanese stocks finished positive with the advance/decline ratio for the Nikkei 225 closing at 3.79x
  • 2 stocks in the Nikkei 225 hit 4-week highs while 84 stocks reached 4-week lows
  • 0 stocks in the Nikkei 225 closed overbought while 39 stocks closed oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
  • Investor sentiment for Hong Kong stocks finished positive with the advance/decline ratio for the Hang Seng closing at 3.55x
  • 1 stock in the Hang Seng hit 4-week highs while 17 stocks reached 4-week lows
  • 0 stocks in the Hang Seng closed overbought while 9 stocks closed oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
  • Japan 10-Year Government Bonds are lower with yields up 0.5 basis points to 0.127%
  • JGBs 2s-10s Spread has widened 0.5 basis points to 0.25%
  • JPY¥ is currently little changed against the USD$ at 113.17

 

*Data in Price Return and Updated Real-Time (with a delay), Source: StockDio

Stock Sentiment

Top Stocks by 7-day News Volume

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Name 7 Day News
Volume
7 Day Average
News Buzz
1M EPS Net
Revisions
3M EPS Net
Revisions
1M EPS
% Chg
3M EPS
% Chg
Alphabet Inc 1819 6.71 3 4 2.22% 2.34%
Microsoft Corp 1563 7 30 30 4.61% 5.01%
Boeing Co/The 1058 5 17 20 10.02% 10.41%
International Business Machines Corp 968 7.57 0 -2 0.48% 0.56%
Netflix Inc 964 7.14 -7 -11 -1.28% -2.09%

Note: Please see our General FAQs to learn how we define and measure News Volume

Top Stocks by 7-Day Average News Buzz

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Name 7 Day News
Volume
7 Day Average
News Buzz
1M EPS Net
Revisions
3M EPS Net
Revisions
1M EPS
% Chg
3M EPS
% Chg
Berkshire Hathaway Inc 126 8.86 -1 5 -0.32% -99.93%
Exelon Corp 12 7.86 2 14 0.77% -0.82%
Wells Fargo & Co 344 7.71 -9 -12 1.89% 2.63%
International Business Machines Corp 968 7.57 0 -2 0.48% 0.56%
Apple Inc 384 7.57 4 36 0.53% 4.76%

Note: Please see our General FAQs to learn how we define and measure News Buzz

Implied Volatility Data For Liquid Macro Index ETFs

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ETF 30D IV 30D IV
Percentile
90D IV 90D IV
Percentile
90D/30D IV 90D/30D IV
Percentile
30D IV-
20D HV
30D IV-20D HV
Percentile
90D IV-
60D HV
90D IV-60D HV
Percentile
SPY 19.55 97.22% 18.08 97.62% 0.92 4.37% -2.89 17.46% 3.66 70.63%
QQQ 28.1 98.81% 23.86 98.81% 0.85 2.78% -5.7 12.3% 2.2 47.62%
IWM 25.9 98.81% 22.26 99.21% 0.86 2.58% 0.7 34.13% 5.49 92.46%
FEZ 20.52 95.24% 19.32 96.43% 0.94 15.67% 2.7 72.02% 2.4 67.46%
EEM 26.11 98.81% 23.61 98.02% 0.9 2.18% -2.13 20.63% 1.21 56.35%

Note: Please see our Options FAQs to learn more about Implied Volatility and other advanced options volatility measures

S&P 500 Sector Performance

*Data in Price Return as of Previous Day's EOD, Source: StockDio

Russell 1000 Factor Performance

*Data in Price Return as of Previous Day's EOD, Source: StockDio

Stock Movers From Our US Large-Cap Model

Top Buy Winners and Losers

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Winners Ticker Sector Industry 1D Return 5D Return YTD
VULCAN MATERIALS CO VMC Materials Construction Materials 16.12% 6.89% -28.05%
EAGLE MATERIALS INC EXP Materials Construction Materials 9.95% 2.61% -47.39%
BLACK KNIGHT INC BKI Information Technology IT Services 9.55% 1.05% 4.12%
MARTIN MARIETTA MATERIALS MLM Materials Construction Materials 8.0% 1.39% -29.63%
BLACKBAUD INC BLKB Information Technology Software 6.68% -0.08% -25.89%
 
Losers Ticker Sector Industry 1D Return 5D Return YTD
MASTERCARD INC MA Information Technology IT Services -1.75% -7.54% 21.72%
PUBLIC SERVICE ENTRP GRP INC PEG Utilities Multi-Utilities -1.57% -0.48% 9.08%
VISA INC V Information Technology IT Services -1.18% -4.68% 15.27%
HILL-ROM HOLDINGS INC HRC Health Care Health Care Equipment & Supplies -0.84% -3.11% -1.28%
ADOBE SYSTEMS INC ADBE Information Technology Software -0.56% -5.45% 29.39%

Source: S&P Capital IQ, StockDio

Top Short Winners and Losers

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Winners Ticker Sector Industry 1D Return 5D Return YTD
CHESAPEAKE ENERGY CORP CHK Energy Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels -12.89% -31.04% -22.62%
GENERAL ELECTRIC CO GE Industrials Industrial Conglomerates -9.19% -22.04% -54.23%
FOCUS FINANCL PRTNR LLC-REDH FOCS Financials Capital Markets -3.15% -4.99% 3.02%
PORTOLA PHARMACEUTICALS INC PTLA Health Care Biotechnology -1.82% -10.15% -94.19%
SANGAMO THERAPEUTICS INC SGMO Health Care Biotechnology -1.77% -8.16% -35.14%
 
Losers Ticker Sector Industry 1D Return 5D Return YTD
CHEGG INC CHGG Consumer Discretionary Diversified Consumer Services 13.53% 4.27% 46.39%
FOSSIL GROUP INC FOSL Consumer Discretionary Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods 7.89% 17.67% 100.28%
LAREDO PETROLEUM INC LPI Energy Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels 7.63% -8.13% -73.55%
FIRST SOLAR INC FSLR Information Technology Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment 7.46% -10.51% -57.13%
SNAP INC SNAP Information Technology Software 7.09% -5.89% -84.37%

Source: S&P Capital IQ, StockDio

Cryptos

  • A new partnership between Microsoft and Nasdaq will see the US-based software giant integrate its Azure Blockchain technology into Nasdaq’s Financial Framework. Nasdaq’s Financial Framework is a technology that provides trading infrastructure and operations outsourcing -- according to a press release on Tuesday, Microsoft’s Azure Blockchain technology will be implemented in Nasdaq’s Financial Framework in order to fulfill risk and surveillance duties. In the long-term, the partnership aims to develop a, “ledger agnostic blockchain capability,” to allow for a service or platform across multiple ledgers. The integration of Azure Blockchain technology into Nasdaq’s Financial Framework will allow users to launch multiple blockchains in one interface.  
  • An article by The Block cites a source, “familiar with the matter,” in reporting that investment banking giant, Goldman Sachs, has begun signing up a limited number of customers for its yet-to-be-launched Bitcoin trading product. The article goes on to detail that the bank is onboarding, “a small number of clients,” to actively trade its Bitcoin futures contract product. At the time, Bitcoin futures trading is available through several regulated US platforms, including notable exchanges CME and CBOE -- Bakkt, a venture by the owner of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), is expected to launch its Bitcoin futures product beginning on December 12th, 2018.   
  • Commissioner of South Korea’s Financial Services Commission (FSC), Choi Jong-Ku, reaffirmed that there are no compliance issues that banks face in providing services to cryptocurrency exchanges. Jong-Ku discussed this while speaking at the country’s state affairs audit to assess the progress of all of South Korea’s government agencies and commissioners, declaring, “There exists no issue in banks providing virtual bank accounts to cryptocurrency exchanges. If digital asset trading platforms have KYC and AML systems in place, there is no problem in issuing virtual bank accounts to exchanges.” 
  • Venezuela has officially launched its state-backed cryptocurrency, the Petro, as of October 29th, 2018. As per a tweet from the Venezuelan Vice President of the Economy’s account, “The Petro may be acquired by legal and natural persons from its web portal.” The Petro can be bought using Bitcoin (BTC) or Litecoin (LTC). The officially launch of the Petro comes as a surprise, as pervious announcements had detailed that the Petro’s launch would not come until November 5th, 2018. 
     

Cryptocurrencies Today

*Data in Price Return and Updated Real-Time (with a delay), Source: StockDio

Events Calendar

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Company Name Ticker Event Date Event Type Q-Factor Score
Anthem, Inc. ANTM 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: B
Sprint Corporation S 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: D
PBF Energy Inc. PBF 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: D
Kellogg Company K 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C, US Consumer Staples: A
Bunge Limited BG 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C, US Consumer Staples: C
SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. SITE 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C, US Industrials: B
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. ADP 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: A, US Information Technology: B
HollyFrontier Corporation HFC 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. ICE 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: B
Integra LifeSciences Holdings Corporation IART 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: A
CDW Corporation CDW 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: A, US Information Technology: B
Intercept Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ICPT 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: F
WEX Inc. WEX 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: A, US Information Technology: C
General Motors Company GM 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: D, US Consumer Discretionary: C
Santander Consumer USA Holdings Inc. SC 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C
Chesapeake Energy Corporation CHK 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: F
United Therapeutics Corporation UTHR 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. EL 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C, US Consumer Staples: D
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C
Littelfuse, Inc. LFUS 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: A, US Information Technology: A
Ameren Corporation AEE 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C
Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. SPR 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C, US Industrials: B
Entergy Corporation ETR 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C
Rowan Companies plc RDC 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: F
Molson Coors Brewing Company TAP 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: A, US Consumer Staples: A
HCP, Inc. HCP 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C
Tallgrass Energy, LP TGE 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C
Zynga Inc. ZNGA 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: D
Fitbit, Inc. FIT 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: D, US Information Technology: C
The Allstate Corporation ALL 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: B
Masimo Corporation MASI 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: B
Antero Resources Corporation AR 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: F
Qorvo, Inc. QRVO 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: D, US Information Technology: B
Newfield Exploration Company NFX 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: D
Macerich Company MAC 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C
Life Storage, Inc. LSI 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C
Macquarie Infrastructure Corporation MIC 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C, US Industrials: D
SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. SSNC 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C, US Information Technology: B
Realty Income Corporation O 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C
Fiserv, Inc. FISV 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: A, US Information Technology: C
Federal Realty Investment Trust FRT 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: D
Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. MAA 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C
PRA Health Sciences, Inc. PRAH 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C
Murphy USA Inc. MUSA 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C, US Consumer Discretionary: C
Molina Healthcare, Inc. MOH 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: D
XPO Logistics, Inc. XPO 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C
PerkinElmer, Inc. PKI 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C
The Williams Companies, Inc. WMB 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C
Express Scripts Holding Company ESRX 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: B
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. CF 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: D
Annaly Capital Management, Inc. NLY 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. HGV 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: B, US Consumer Discretionary: C
SRC Energy Inc. SRCI 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: D
American Water Works Company, Inc. AWK 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C
Tyler Technologies, Inc. TYL 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C, US Information Technology: C
Matador Resources Company MTDR 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: D
Stamps.com Inc. STMP 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C, US Information Technology: B
ASM Pacific Technology Limited SEHK:522 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date China All-Cap: D
IMAX China Holding, Inc. SEHK:1970 10/31/2018 Estimated Earnings Release Date China All-Cap: C
CNOOC Limited SEHK:883 10/31/2018 Estimated Earnings Release Date China All-Cap: A
Rockwell Collins, Inc. COL 10/31/2018 Estimated Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: A, US Industrials: B
Apple Inc. AAPL 10/31/2018 Estimated Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: A, US Information Technology: B
Exelon Corporation EXC 10/31/2018 Estimated Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C
Trimble Inc. TRMB 10/31/2018 Estimated Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C, US Information Technology: C
Akorn, Inc. AKRX 10/31/2018 Estimated Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: F
Church & Dwight Co., Inc. CHD 10/31/2018 Estimated Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: A, US Consumer Staples: A
Gulfport Energy Corporation GPOR 10/31/2018 Estimated Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: D
Oshkosh Corporation OSK 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C, US Industrials: B
Insulet Corporation PODD 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: F
PPL Corporation PPL 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C
Stericycle, Inc. SRCL 10/31/2018 Estimated Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C, US Industrials: A
Wayfair Inc. W 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C, US Consumer Discretionary: C
WPX Energy, Inc. WPX 10/31/2018 Estimated Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: F
EPAM Systems, Inc. EPAM 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: B, US Information Technology: B
HKBN Ltd. SEHK:1310 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date China All-Cap: A
Ingredion Incorporated INGR 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C, US Consumer Staples: B
athenahealth, Inc. ATHN 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: B
American International Group, Inc. AIG 10/31/2018 Estimated Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: D
Puma Biotechnology, Inc. PBYI 10/31/2018 Estimated Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: F
RealPage, Inc. RP 10/31/2018 Earnings Release Date US Large-Cap: C, US Information Technology: C
CGN Power Co., Ltd. SEHK:1816 10/31/2018 Estimated Earnings Release Date China All-Cap: C

Source: S&P Capital IQ